With the College season now less than a month away and the draft order shaping into its final form, I present to you my 5th Mock for the 2020 draft. My last four mock drafts have been purely based on my opinions only, which will change in this one as I factor in past draft tendencies and the general consensus in the scouting world.
Below are the first 67 picks of the draft (First Round, Competitive Balance Round A & B, Second Round), as well as my reasoning for the pick, TLDR’s, MLB Comp’s and video.
1. RHP Emerson Hancock, Georgia
Behind the Pick: Dating back to June, I’ve had Spencer Torkelson as my slam-dunk first overall pick and while I still think he’s the best player in the class – the MLB has become an arms race, with Emerson Hancock looking like a potential annual all-star. Passing up on a prospect with his skillset is a decision that sets an organization back five years.
TLDR: 95-97 righty w/ three pitches that flash plus and a fastball that gets plus-plus grades.
Comp: More Graceful Casey Mize
2. 1B Spencer Torkelson, Arizona State
Behind the Pick: In a normal draft, Spencer Torkelson is the first overall pick. The heart and soul of college baseball’s best offense broke Barry Bonds’ home run record as a freshman at Arizona State and put up identical numbers last season slashing a .351/.446/.707 line with 23 HR and a 15.6K%. He’s drawn comparisons to 2019 third overall pick Andrew Vaughan because of his size and lack of defensive flexibility – but Torkelson’s power is on a different spectrum.
TLDR: RR/1B Profile with easy plus-plus power, and a track record of numbers that make him the best pure hitting prospect since San Diego’s Kris Bryant.
Comp: Andrew Vaughn w/ more power
3. SS Austin Martin, Vanderbilt
Behind the Pick: After selecting his teammate last season in J.J Bleday, the Marlins might’ve found their version of Batman and Robin. After slashing .410/.503/.619 last season with 8 HR, 18 SB and a 10.6 K%, Martin brings a track record of success at the highest level and the athleticism to play virtually anywhere. He looks like he’ll end up at second, which is a second-thought as he’ll be going third overall thanks to his abilities at the plate.
TLDR: Middle of the infield bat with the best hit tool in the class and enough athleticism to play practically anywhere.
Comp: Dansby Swanson
4. OF Austin Hendrick, West Allegheny HS
Behind the Pick: Kansas City could play it safe here and take one of the many college bats. But numerous teams will fall in love with Austin Hendrick, and if you see him on the right day – you might be looking at a top-of-the-order bat that puts 40+ balls in the stands, and on top of that, his athletic frame, and plus-arm could make him an elite defender in right field. Now those are the pros, and what comes with a prep bat that has raw plus-plus power is a knack for swinging and missing too much for some teams’ comfort.
TLDR: Tooled up prep OF with raw plus-plus power, elite bat speed, and a plus-arm.
Comp: Shoeni Ohtani
5. LHP Asa Lacey, Texas A&M
Behind the Pick: The Jays have shown a comfort for selecting long-limbed college pitchers with a track record of success, and Asa Lacey fits the bill. The Aggie product posted back-to-back sub-3 ERA campaigns. In the latest one he put up 130 K, 49 H, and 56 BB/HBP in 88.2 Innings of work. There’s some relief risk as his three-pitch mix doesn’t have any plus-pitches and his command doesn’t make anybody jump out of their seat.
TLDR: 92-95 Lefty with deception in his delivery and a history of success in the SEC.
Comp: Robbie Ray
6. 2B Nick Gonzales, New Mexico State
Behind the Pick: Some teams are risk-averse, some are neutral, and then there’s the Seattle Mariners – who haven’t selected a high schooler in the first round since 2014 in Alex Jackson, which obviously didn’t work out. This pick is a coin toss between two college bats, but with Gonzales’ bonker numbers posted at New Mexico State – where he had a .432/.532/.773 line with 16 HR and a 10.56 K%, the Mariners can sleep easy at night knowing they found a rare bat.
TLDR: Put up video-game like numbers, like many do at New Mexico State – but then lit up the Cape League and flew up everyone’s draft board.
Comp: Nick Madrigal w/o leg raise
7. RHP Nick Bitsko, Central Bucks East HS
Behind the Pick: The Pennsylvannian native announced (last week) that he would graduate a year early and be eligible for the 2020 Draft. I’m sure some scouts in the Pirates org had their jaws-dropping realizing the homegrown talent would more than likely fall in their lap here at 7. Bitsko is a match made in heaven at this spot, and is the first of many HS arms that’ll find a new home soon.
TLDR: 93-95 righty with an over-the-top armslot that creates a tough plane on hitters.
Comp: Trevor Bauer
8. RHP Jared Kelley, Refugio HS
Behind the Pick: The Padres have used their last three first-round selections on high schoolers, with two of them being pitchers. Their risk-averse approach makes Jared Kelley a true high risk/high reward prospect the ideal selection at 8. The Texas Commit has some relief risk as his command is a 35 grade, and he lacks an average (or better) breaking ball.
TLDR: Matured righty working up to 99, with a changeup that flashes plus-plus.
Comp: A.J Burnett
9. RHP Mick Abel, Jesuit HS
Behind the Pick: When you play 81 games at Coors Field, there’s a need for pitchers – hence five of the last seven first-round picks by Colorado being pitchers. Abel is the third-straight prep arm selected and sits ahead of both (Bitsko and Kelley) on my big board, so he’s a good get here at the 9.
TLDR: Mid-90’s long-limbed righty w/ high end starter traits, a plus-CB and CH that flashes plus at times.
Comp: Cole Winn, but more projectable
10. C Patrick Bailey, North Carolina State
Behind the Pick: Only one team has selected two or more catchers in the first-round since 2015, and the Angels are that one team. Last year they took his teammate at NC State, Will Wilson – then proceeded to trade him away last week. Bailey has been an above average defender for the Wolfpack in his time there while putting up numbers that only 2019 First-Overall Pick Adley Rutchsman could top.
TLDR: Well built offensive oriented catcher with enough skills behind the plate to stay there.
Comp: Andrew Knizer
11. SS Ed Howard, Mount Carmel HS
Behind the Pick: The Little League baseball sensation has been a “ball player” his entire life, and is a steal for the White Sox here at 11. Shortstops that can hit, hit for power, run, throw, and play above average defense are rare commodities and something that the Southside will welcome with open hands.
TLDR: Five-Tool SS that checks all the boxes and has been the best SS at every event he attends.
Comp: Alexei Ramirez
12. OF Dylan Crews, Lake Mary HS
Behind the Pick: After a down summer, Crews dropped down boards after struggling to make contact. Regardless, his swing is something made in a lab with elite bat speed and so much whip in his hands. He’s my no. 4 player in the class and is somewhat of a steal here at 12. MLB Pipeline has Crews as their 52nd prospect and FanGraphs has him 19th in the class – there’s lots of disagreement on where Crews stands as you can tell.
TLDR: Robinson Cano like swing w/ underrated power and hands that fly through the zone.
Comp: Brendan Rodgers
13. OF Garrett Mitchell, UCLA
Behind the Pick: The oh-so gifted centre fielder somehow dropped all the way to the early-teens and the Giants are all over him. After selecting Hunter Bishop last year, and Joey Bart the year before – the Giants have assembled a special group of players that one could argue are all very safe bets to be future big leaguers.
TLDR: Do-it-all CF with lot’s of range and speed paired w/ an easy swing but approach that’s holding him back.
Comp: Kevin Pillar w/ more power
14. RHP J.T Ginn, Mississippi State
Behind the Pick: No team has struggled to draft and develop like the Rangers, and in a class where talented college arms are a dime-a-dozen, the sophomore eligible arm is a perfect fit. Ginn was a first-round pick out of HS and has been viewed as a top-20 talent by many scouts in the industry since his junior year of high school.
TLDR: 94-95 righty with graceful actions and lot’s of ASR copped with a CB that is tough to see out of his hand.
Comp: Jake Arrieta
15. LHP Garrett Crochet, Tennessee
Behind the Pick: For the fourth straight draft, the Phillies will be taking one of college baseball’s finest. The southpaw is a unique prospect as he hasn’t put up first-round numbers. But after starting the spring working up into triple-digits and sitting in the 95-98 range – he’s shown the traits that end up going in the first round.
TLDR: High-90s lefty working up to 100 with a short arm and quick delivery.
Comp: Zack Thompson w/ shades of Jake Diekman
16. OF Pete Crow-Armstrong, Harvard-Westlake HS
Behind the Pick: The Cubs under Theo Epstein have been one of the best teams in the league at finding talent in the first-round. Ian Happ, Kyle Schwarber, Kris Bryant, Albert Almora, and Javier Baez have all found spots on the Cubs, so with my no. 5 prospect still on the board, the Cubs should be pouncing at the opportunity to select a player with the talent of Pete Crow-Armstrong. The Vanderbilt commit can do everything, and is a remarkable threat in centre field, on the basepath and in the box.
TLDR: Five-tool prospect w/ instinctive traits, plus-plus speed and a hit tool that draws high grades.
Comp: Corbin Carroll w/ more power
17. OF Zac Veen, Spruce Creek HS
Behind the Pick: The Red Sox have been all over the place in regards to what they target on draft day so the easy solution is to go BPA, and Veen fights the bill. He’s my no. 3 prospect left on the board and has been steadily rising up draft boards after a quiet summer.
TLDR: Popup prospect that has put on muscle and has one of the better left-handed swings in the class.
Comp: Drew Waters
18. RHP Alejandro Rosario, Miami Christian HS
Behind the Pick: Last year the Diamondbacks spent their first three (of four) first-round selections on high school prospects. This year is no different as they take my no. 10 player and second best prospect on the board. Rosario’s arm is one of the cleanest in the draft, working into the upper-90’s and dropping in a splitter that gets above average grades.
TLDR: Athletic & undersized Florida arm that has the best command for his class, while working in the 92-95 range.
Comp: Matt Allan
19. RHP Tanner Burns, Auburn
Behind the Pick: When you play in the bright lights of New York you gotta have a bulldog mentality, and Tanner Burns embraces it. Burns was 2018 first-overall pick Casey Mize’s successor on the top of Auburn’s staff and did virtually everything to live up to the heavy expectations. Last year, he posted the following – 79.0 IP, 62 H, 26 BB/HBP, and a 2.73 ERA in the SEC.
TLDR: Competitive 92-94 righty with two above average secondaries and starter’s command.
Comp: Rick Porcello
20. RHP Cole Wilcox, Georgia
Behind the Pick: In 2018, Cole Wilcox was being offered top-20 money, now he’ll be getting similar offers as he’s eligible as a sophomore. Fellow ‘20 prospect Emerson Hancock and Cole Wilcox are as close as you’ll get to UCLA’s duo of Trevor Bauer and Gerrit Cole that went 1st and third overall in 2011 – the two could both end up in the top-10 with the right season from Wilcox.
TLDR: Sophomore eligible power-righty with no above average secondary and the type of command that usually ends up in the bullpen.
Comp: Ethan Hankins
21. 3B Jordan Walker, Decatur HS
Behind the Pick: The only (non-1B) high schooler with more raw-juice (Austin Hendrick) than Jordan Walker is projected to go third overall, so the Cardinals have got something on their hands here at 21. Walker doesn’t necessarily have any swing-and-miss concerns like most teenage power bats do, but his shockingly graceful actions on the field for such a massive frame show how athletic he is. The Cardinals have a great history of developing draft choices, and Walker should add-on to that list.
TLDR: Massive Corner-Projection bat with raw plus-plus power.
Comp: Cameron Maybin
22. OF Robert Hassell III, Independence HS
Behind the Pick: The Nationals have used 6 of their last 7 first-round selections on arms, so going with Hassell here might be a tad of a weird pick – but the Vanderbilt commit was the USA 18U program’s best hitter and quickly immersed himself into the conversation for the top-10.
TLDR: Athletic Corner-Outfielder with a good enough arm to play in RF, but a contact-oriented style of play best suited for left field.
Comp: Nick Markakis
23. C Tyler Soderstrom, Turlock HS
Behind the Pick: Cleveland has used their last five first-round selections on high schoolers, one of those being prep catcher Bo Naylor, so their willingness to select high school catchers makes Soderstrom a great candidate here at 23. A favorite of mine heading into the showcase season, Soderstrom had one of the best campaigns over the summer and quickly got top-20 buzz.
TLDR: Long-limbed, lean built catching prospect with strong hands and a loose swing.
Comp: D.J LeMahieu
24. C Drew Romo, The Woodlands HS
Behind the Pick: There have been 10 HS catchers selected in the first round this past decade, and the only team to select two was Tampa Bay. Romo is the best player on the board, and my no. 8 player in the class. The prep catcher risk is the only thing keeping Drew from being a top-10 pick.
TLDR: Elite catch & throw prospect w/ big time strength and above average hit tools from both sides of the plate.
Comp: Gregg Zaun
25. LHP Reid Detmers, Louisville
Behind the Pick: The Braves have been all over the place under Alex Anthopolous, but aside from the selection of Carter Stewart – they’ve targeted college players for low-money, which Detmers fits. The poster boy on a deep 2020 staff has one of the better repertoires in the class with every pitch getting above average (or better) grades. Detmers at 25 is a safe bet, and a possible underslot candidate.
TLDR: Pitchability lefty with velo on the up, and a track record of success in a blue collar league,
Comp: A “less funky” Alex Wood
26. SS Casey Martin, Arkansas
Behind the Pick: Last year, the A’s took SS Logan Davidson – a bloodlines hitting shortstop with plus-speed. Here at Pick 26, they take a plus-plus runner and plus-power infielder with lots of questions around his hit tool and future position. For Team USA, he tried out CF and looked alright given his ability to fly everywhere. If Martin lives up to expectations, we could be looking at a 20/20 type hitter with lots of versatility in the field.
TLDR: Physical Prospect with the tools desired in today’s league but a lack of consistency.
Comp: Oscar Mercado
27. RHP Max Meyer, Minnesota
Behind the Pick: This isn’t the first time I’ve had the Golden Gopher mocked to the Twins, and it won’t be the last. It’s a match made in heaven. The six-footer pitches like he’s 6’4 with a tall, athletic delivery. He has the traits to be a no. 3 starter, and the intangibles seen in the league’s best closers. So he could end up in two different roles, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he succeeded in either.
TLDR: Mid-90’s 6’0 Pitcher with below average command, but an arm that works.
Comp: Sonny Gray
28. 1B Blaze Jordan, DeSoto Central HS
Behind the Pick: Blaze Jordan and New York City is something only seen in a movie, the 1B recently reclassified to the 2020 Class and started the summer in most boards’ top-10’s but then tumbled due to swing-and-miss problems and a lack of competition. No player has gained as much attention via the internet like Blaze, who, from the age of 12 has been given comparisons to Bryce Harper, and many of the MLB’s superstars. The Mississippi State commit has raw plus-plus power and a lot of hype generated around his name.
TLDR: Dreaded RR/1B profile but hits the ball enough to make me not care.
Comp: Jayson Werth
29. OF Jace Bohrofen, Westmoore HS
Behind the Pick: Once you get to the end of the first it becomes a game of getting certain guys you like for the right money. Bohrofen’s play style is similar to that of Joc Pederson, and his signability more than likely making him an underslot pick here should be enticing for the Dodgers.
TLDR: Under-the-radar prep OF that’s got lot’s of tools.
Comp: Joc Pederson
Competitive Balance Round A
30. RHP Jared Jones, La Mirada HS
Behind the Pick: With the Orioles getting to be the first team to double dip in a still deep pool of prospects, they go with one of the more athletic pitchers in the class. The money Jones will need to sign will be atleast 500k over the slot, so the Orioles will have to pay a pretty penny to get the prized HS arm.
TLDR: Low-90’s righty with everything you need to be a no. 2 starter except for the frame.
Comp: Hunter Barco w/ a Higher Arm Slot
31. RHP C.J Van Eyk, Florida State
Behind the Pick: After going with a prep arm in the first, the Pirates grab one of upper-echelon college arms still left on the board. Van Eyk had a down year during his sophomore campaign after posting a sub-3 ERA in a swingman role during his freshman year. The upcoming spring is a big one for C.J as a bump in whiffs and drop in freebies could put him in the same realm of fellow ‘nole and 2014 first-round pick – Luke Weaver.
TLDR: Mid-90’s righty with a 12-6 that flashes plus and a mechanical sound delivery.
Comp: Luke Weaver
32. OF Daniel Cabrera, LSU
Behind the Pick: The Royals have tendency to take a safe college prospect after getting a high ceiling player in the first, and Daniel Cabrera is one of the safest prospects in the class. The Tiger slashed .284/.359/.516 with 12 HR, in 225 AB. The big concern is an unexpected influx of Ks, which went up from 36 his FR year to 54 this past season. With some added power and less whiffs, Cabrera’s draft profile would be similar to 2015 2nd-round Pick, and LSU Alum – Andrew Stevenson.
TLDR: The LF-only pro w/ gap-power and a really good at being a bottom of the order bat with the ability to slug in the upper .400’s.
Comp: Andrew Stevenson
33. LHP Ryan Bruno, American Heritage HS
Behind the Pick: Last year when the Diamondbacks had four first-round selections, they took two prep overslot deals with pick 32 and 33. Here at 33, with my no. 1 HS LHP still on the board, they take the Stanford Commit. Bruno might be a tough sign as his brother will also be heading to Stanford with him, but $2.5 – $3.0M might change his mind,
TLDR: High intent low-90’s lefty with clean actions and one of my favorite arms in the class.
Comp: Shaun Anderson
34. RHP Carmen Mlodzinski, South Carolina
Behind the Pick: The Padres love arms on Draft Day and with a really good arm in Mlodzinski still on the board – you take him and laugh. The Gamecock has been injured for much of his college career, but in the Cape Cod league this summer he was the lone arm that stood out. He worked in the mid-90s featuring a plus-hook and a CH that got above average marks. He still needs to show his worth on a college mound vs SEC bats, but the intangibles are there.
TLDR: Oft-Injured mid-90’s righty with feel for a CH and Plus-SL.
Comp: Clarke Schmidt
35. RHP Cade Cavalli, Oklahoma
Behind the Pick: Cavalli is just another solid arm in a long line of college pitchers this draft. The Sooner has been booming the past year after posting a 3.28 ERA in 60.1 innings of work. His 35 BB to 59 K is a concern but for USA’s collegiate team this summer – he was sensational. Colorado needs arms, and they get their second advanced arm in a day.
TLDR: Workhouse righty that sits 93-97, touching 98 mph with a plus curveball and some athleticism.
Comp: Alec Hansen
36. RHP Jack Leftwich, Florida
Behind the Pick: After getting a prep bat in the first, a College arm is a must in a class where they’re a dime-a-dozen. Leftwich is the annual Gator RHP pick, and is similar to 2018 Day One Selection – Jackson Kowar. In 2019, Kowar struggled to miss bats but filled up the zone with only 18 BB in 62.2 innings of work. His 5.31 ERA was bothersome but he followed it up with a 3.64 ERA (29.2 IP) in the Cape Cod league.
TLDR: Another Gator RHP working in the low-90’s with above average command and two secondaries that get above average grades.
Comp: Jackson Kowar
37. OF Heston Kjerstad, Arkansas
Behind the Pick: Against the usual belief of college hitters being the safest prospects, Kjerstad is a risky one. The Razorback is the typical Corner-OF Projection bat with raw-power and serious swing-and-miss problems. Last spring, he posted a .329/.404/.574 line with 63 K to only 21 BB. He did sent 16 into the stands, and that’s one reason he’s a bigtime prospect.
TLDR: Corner-OF Power bat with timing-based swing that turns alot of teams off, but has enough power to garner attention.
Comp: Griffin Conine
38. RHP Cole Henry, LSU
Behind the Pick: After getting Emerson Hancock first overall, the Tigers could go with one of the college MIF’s available. Instead they add-on to an absolutely loaded system of arms, with Hancock, Henry, Mize, Manning and Skubal. Those 5 are unmatchable from any organization, and the Tigers rebuild just received a massive kickstart in this draft. Henry is sophomore eligible, so his leverage will lead to a 100-250k overslot, but it’s worth it.
TLDR: Sophomore eligible mid-90’s righty with repeatable actions and above average command.
Comp: Tommy Henry
39. LHP Nicholas Griffin, Monticello HS
Behind the Pick: The no. 2 LHP in a weird position group goes to the Orioles at Pick 39. There’s so many prep lefties that could go here, which is why I call the position group weird. Lucas Gordan, Dax Fulton, Timmy Manning, and Kyle Harrison are all legitimate arms worthy of this pick but Griffin’s graceful actions and pitchability are that of ex-MLBer and perennial All-star – Cliff Lee.
TLDR: Pitchability low-90’s lefty that’s been rising the past few months.
Comp: Cliff Lee
40. SS Alex Freeland, Mariner HS
Behind the Pick: Last year Miami overslotted a favorite of mine, Nasim Nunez, in the second round. The year before, they overslotted another middle-infielder HS prospect – Osiris Johnson. So there’s a clear strategy for the Marlins under Derek Jeter’s leadership. Freeland is an upright athletic infielder that can switch-hit, he has a short stride to that of projected first-rounder – Casey Martin. This would be an overslot deal, unless Freeland accepts slot money to go with a slide up in the draft. He is my no. 65 prospect, so there’s a small ‘reach’ on this pick.
TLDR: Switch-hitting middle infielder with stiff actions, but some power.
Comp: Gunnar Henderson
41.LHP Andrew Abbott, Virginia
Behind the Pick: In 2018, the Royals took UVA Lefty Daniel Lynch. At pick 41 in 2020, they take UVA Lefty Andrew Abbott. Last season for the Cavaliers, Abbott posted a 3.89 ERA in 44 IP. He worked in a swingman role and was UVA’s go-to reliever in high leverage situations. After losing their ace, Noah Murdock, Abbott will slide into UVA’s Friday-night role for the upcoming spring. He has one of the best curveballs in college baseball and an athletic delivery fitted for the bullpen.
TLDR: Small low-90’s lefty that works off a plus-CB and works quickly as most highly drafted UVA arms do.
Comp: Nathan Kirby
42. OF Petey Halpin, St. Francis HS
Behind the Pick: The Blue Jays as an organization have struggled to find outfielders through the draft, Travis Snider, Anthony Alford, J.B Woodman, D.J Davis, Jake Anderson, are the most recent high draft picks that failed to meet expectations. After passing on Dylan Crews, and Pete Crow-Armstrong at pick 5 for Asa Lacey, the Jays get my no. 45 player in the class at 42. The value is good, the upside is there, Halpin is a fringe centre fielder, but will more than likely end up in right – he was clocked hitting 92 numerous times from the OF, and he’s got great bat-to-ball skills.
TLDR: prep OF w/ contact-oriented approach, plus-arm, plus-speed, and above average bat speed.
Comp: David Dahl w/ less power
43. RHP Slade Cecconi, Miami
Behind the Pick: The Mariners have a thing for 6’3-6’6 College arms, Cecconi isn’t the only Miami arm that could’ve gone here with Chris McMahon being a legit candidate at 43. Cecconi had an oblique injury last year that set him back, but still ended up with a 4.10 ERA in 59.1 IP, with 6 6K, 16 BB, and a 1.26 WHIP. He’s somewhat similar to Stetson RHP and 2018 Mariners 1st-Round Pick, Logan Gilbert.
TLDR: Sophomore eligible righty w/ injury history and relief risk but overpowering stuff.
Comp: Isaiah Campbell
44. C Austin Wells, Arizona
Behind the Pick: The Pirates on the clock for the third time select sophomore eligible catcher and Cape standout Austin Wells. The Wildcat at the plate has similar traits to 3B and 2016 4th-Round Pick, Bobby Dalbec. Wells has an above average arm behind the plate but is a below average receiver and might move to the OF or 1B if he can’t improve at catcher.
TLDR: Hitting-only catcher prospect w/ easy swing and loose hands.
Comp: Bobby Dalbec
45. RHP Marco Raya, United South HS
Behind the Pick: 6’0 low-90’s HS arms don’t have a history of going this high, but the Padres took 6’1 LHP Ryan Weathers 7th overall last year, so there’s sort of a fit here. Raya is a favorite of mine in this class with shades of Marcus Stroman in his delivery and makeup. He flashes a double plus-SL and glovestrikes his FB more times not. He’s my no. 31 prospect in the class, so he’s a steal here at 45 for the Padres.
TLDR: Low-90’s righty with elite athleticism, a plus-plus SL and a whippy arm.
Comp: Marcus Stroman
46. 2B Justin Foscue, Mississippi State
Behind the Pick: For Mississippi State last year, Foscue slashed .338/.402/.582 with 14 HR, and only 31 K to 28 BB. If you looked at those numbers and saw his position, you’d assume he was a top-10 pick. Foscue falling to pick 46 is a tribute to how deep this class is, getting a high-ceiling middle infielder from a blue collar SEC program with your third pick is borderline robbery.
TLDR: Middle Infielder prospect with below average defense but a plus-bat and track record of success at an elite program.
Comp: Brian Dozier
47. RHP Ben Hernandez, De La Salle HS
Behind the Pick: Hernandez first caught my eye when looking at 2019 Blue Jay draftees, Owen Diodati and Dasan Brown for team Canada at the 2019 U18 World Championship. The two combined for 0 hits vs Hernandez and 2 strikeouts in 5 at-bats and got mercy-ruled by the USA. His changeup is one of the best in the class, trailing only Jared Kelley with a 60 grade on the pitch. He’s got relief risk and will more than likely end up in the bullpen, but he pitches with poise and has above average control, so he could end up as 1.5-2.2 WAR closer.
TLDR: Relief risk, low-90’s righty with plus-CH and repeatable motions.
Comp: Roberto Osuna
48. OF Zach DeLoach, Texas A&M
Behind the Pick: The Reds have a thing for college OF on day two, with Bren Spillane (3rd Round) in 2018, and Stuart Fairchild (2nd Round) in 2017. At pick 48, they take Texas A&M’s Zach DeLoach. For the Aggies last year, DeLoach struggled but with a wood bat in the cape cod. He hit .353 and got on 42.8% of the time. The left-handed swing has below average warning-track power but above average gap-power.
TLDR: Left-handed OF, who broke out at Cape Cod after a down sophomore campaign.
Comp: Tyler Naquin
49. 1B Aaron Sabato, North Carolina
Behind the Pick: Since 2015, the Giants are one of the only teams to take two 1B in the second round. So there’s somewhat of a fit for Aaron Sabato fit here, and the Freshman had one of the best rookie campaigns imaginable in the ACC. The Power-only pro put up an insane .343/.453/.696 line with 18 HR and 25 2B.
TLDR: Switch-hitting 1B-only pro that needs to keep hitting to get looks.
Comp: Luke Voit
50. SS Freddy Zamora, Miami
Behind the Pick: A prototypical glove-first college shortstop falling to pick 50 is once again a testament to how deep this class is. Zamora put up a .296/.393/.447 line last year for the Canes in 50 games, his 6 HR and impressive 27 K : 31 BB mark shows how good this tool is. He’s also a threat on the basepath with plus-speed and could move to the outfield because of that speed, but I rather doubt it as he’s an elite defender at short.
TLDR: All-Around shortstop with an average hit tool and slightly below average power.
Comp: Richie Martin
51. RHP Chris McMahon, Miami
Behind the Pick: A deep 2020 Miami Hurricane roster has its third player go in the second round. McMahon, and Cecconi both have high ceilings, but McMahon has the higher floor. The 6’3 junior is my no. 39 player in the class and has similarities to 2019 Cubs 1st Round-Pick, Ryan Jensen. The Cubs get great value at pick 51 in Chris McMahon
TLDR: Mid-90’s righty with sturdy build and above average command but relief risk.
Comp: Jon Harris
52.RHP Kyle Nicolas, Ball State
Behind the Pick: After taking Zac Veen 17th overall, the Red Sox grab one of the better mid-major arms in the class and save some money. The 6’3 righty has struggled for Ball State after back-to-back years with an ERA over 5.00. But this summer, he hit 99, showed composure and commanded the zone while mixing in an above average hook. Last year, Ball State ace – Drey Jameson went at the end of the first-round, Nicolas is in the mold of Jameson but without many starter traits.
TLDR: Mid-90’s righty who lacks any metric of success at the college level but has the intangibles to break out his junior year.
Comp: Drey Jameson
53.RHP Tommy Mace, Florida
Behind the Pick: Mace is an interesting prospect, the Gator is my no. 78 prospect, so 53 is a little high. But he’s equipped with a very good arm that works in the 92-94 range and topping 96. So, he might not have the track record – but there’s talent there and he’s just another one of the many talented Gator pitchers.
TLDR: Low-90’s righty w/ whippy arm and with zero background of success at Florida.
Comp: Eric Hanhold
54. LHP Lucas Gordan, Notre Dame HS
Behind the Pick: Last year, the Brewers over slotted a JUCO Lefty in the second. In 2018, they overslotted prep lefty Aaron Ashby in the fourth round. With Lucas Gordan, my no. 51 player still on the board, there is a clear fit here. Gordan has a very appealing arm with some whip in it, he’s the type of prospect that’ll sign for about 100k over the slot in this area of the draft.
TLDR: 89-91 lefty with athletic actions on the mound and some starter traits.
Comp: Young Mark Buehrle
55. RHP Trenton Denholm, UC Irvine
Behind the Pick: After getting one of the better value picks in the first with Decatur’s Jordan Walker, the Cards go with a pitchability righty with great advanced numbers in Denholm. His skills typically coincides with being a safe pick, and ending up with a backend starter who fills up the zone and can miss barrels.
TLDR: low-90’s pitchability righty that excels at missing bats.
Comp: Jack Leiter
56. SS Hayden Cantrelle, Louisiana Lafayette
Behind the Pick: The Nationals have taken a college player in the second round of every draft since 2011. So the odds of that changing are slim-to-none, Cantrelle is similar to 2019 first-round pick Greg Jones. Both come from mid-major powerhouses, with plus-plus speed, an above average hit tool, and the athleticism to play anywhere. I feel like a broken record, but Cantrelle falling this late is why scouts have propped this class up.
TLDR: Uber-athletic Plus-plus runner with a fringe hit tool, but some bat-to-ball ability.
Comp: Greg Jones
57. SS Harold Coll, Georgia Premier Academy
Behind the Pick: Last year the Indians under slotted fellow Georgia Premier standout Daniel Espino at the end of the 1st round. With the 57th pick they underslot an athletic shortstop with a plus-plus arm, above average range and simple swing to go along with average power. He’s a toolsy player who comes from a high school program that has sent quite a few pro players in the past decade.
TLDR: Glove-first prospect with elite arm and quiet power.
Comp: Edumndo Sosa
58. LHP Jake Eder, Vanderbilt
Behind the Pick: Vanderbilt arms are always highly touted. Eder won’t grab the attention fellow-teammates Jack Leiter and Kumar Rocker will get. But he has an ideal frame, and flashes one above average secondary. Tampa has a history of loading up on arms and they finally get one in this mock draft.
TLDR: low-90’s lefty thats worked in a swingman role because of Vanderbilt’s loaded staffs.
Comp: Ben Bowden
59. OF Joey Wiemer Jr.
Behind the Pick: The Athletics have always been a team that embraces funky players, and Wiemer is that. For Cincinnati, Wiemer’s 2019 season was a bit of a letdown, as he put up a .263/.360/.408 line in 62 Games for the Bearcats. His 21.22 K%, and meer 6 HR didn’t make it better. Now, in the Cape this summer, he showed strides of a feel to hit that go along with the desired traits in today’s league (plus-bat speed, plus-speed).
TLDR: Gritty COF with unorthodox swing who has plus-bat speed, and plus-speed.
Comp: Hunter Pence
60. SS Jordan Westburg, Mississippi State
Behind the Pick: The Twins have taken a college player with their past two second-round selections in 2018 and 2019. Westburg is a prototypical college shortstop with an above average glove/hit tool, and average power/speed tool. These types of shortstops are typically taken on the beginning of day one for slot deals. His line in Starkville last year (.299/.408/.466) showed how much he’s grown as a hitter, and his 6 HR came as a pleasant surprise. Jordan’s likely position will be at second or left field but he’ll always get on base enough to keep moving up through the Twins organization.
TLDR: Above Average defender, with good numbers against the best competition.
Comp: Adam Frazier
61. SS Tommy Troy, Los Gatos HS
Behind the Pick: The last time the Dodgers took a HS SS (in the first four rounds) was with their first-round selection in 2016, so that makes this pick a bit puzzling. But the shortstop they took was none other than breakout rookie Gavin Lux. After hitting on Lux, maybe the Dodgers try their odds on an above average hitting shortstop that’ll end up at third.
TLDR: Solid hands that work well, plus-runner, and above average defender.
Comp: Grae Kessinger
Competitive Balance Round B
62. 3B Gage Workman, Arizona State
Behind the Pick: Throughout his time at the country’s number one party school, Workman has been a key part of college baseball’s best lineup. For the Sun Devils last year, Workman had a 26.77 K% with a .330/.413/.528 line, his 8 HR were enough to get attention as an oversized corner-infielder with an above average power grade.
TLDR: Huge physical left-handed corner-bat that’s part of college baseball’s best offense.
Comp: Drew Ellis
63. C Saul Garza, LSU
Behind the Pick: College Catchers with an above average glove, hit and power tools are easy to project as end of the second-round talent. In 2015 the Tigers took LSU catcher Kade Scivicque 130th overall. While Garza is a much better hitter, Scivicque took a much lower bonus then the slot, which is what will likely happen here. Garza has already been drafted twice, once out of HS and once out of JC. His age will be 22.2 on draft day, so his clock is ticking.
TLDR: Average defender, w/ powerful swing and an above average hit tool.
Comp: Francisco Cervelli
64. LHP Kyle Harrison, De La Salle HS
Behind the Pick: High School left-handed pitchers are typically sought after in the second-round, yet the Cardinals haven’t taken one this high since Rob Kaminsky in 2013. Harrison has athletic actions on the mound with a body that’s moving downhill fast. He’s got natural sink on his CH and FB, and a CB that looks like a slurve.
TLDR: 91-94 lefty with whippy arm, heavy ASR and repeatable actions.
Comp: Foster Griffin
65. OF Mario Zabala, International Baseball Academy HS
Behind the Pick: Perhaps the biggest steal in the draft comes here at pick 65, Zabala might be the most athletic 6’2/200 prospect in the entire class. He’s got desired physical tools (plus-power, plus-speed, plus-arm) and a swing with natural loft. The Mariners will have to fork out some money to pry Zabala away from FIU, but 250-400k over-the-slot should get it done.
TLDR: Plus-Plus runner with power-projection and a cannon in right.
Comp: Aaron Hicks
66. 3B Drew Bowser, Harvard-Westlake HS
Behind the Pick: Harvard-Westlake has a long history of MLB Draft prospects with Pete Crow-Armstrong being the top one this year. Bowser, who’s listed as a shortstop projects as a third baseman with his size and average arm. Cincinnati has taken three HS infielders in the second and third round since 2017, so Bowser makes some sense.
TLDR: Another product from a high school powerhouse, has a feel to hit.
Comp: Stiffer Anthony Volpe
67. 3B Ethan Long, Mountain Pointe HS
Behind the Pick: Minnesota used its first two picks on college juniors, which means they’ll likely have the funds to sign away the Gator Commit. Ethan is a physical specimen, he’s 6’2/215. His build is maxed out, but he’s got above average power and a clean stroke. He projects as a corner-outfielder who could hit .250 with 15-20 HR.
TLDR: Corner-power projection bat that might move to a corner-OF spot.
Comp: J.D Davis
Last year, Matt Allen – a consenus top-20 talent fell to the third-round because of signability but then came to an agreement with the Mets. Here are the top players still on the board that likely fell because of bonus demands (In Parenthesis is my class rank for them).
(34) OF Dominic Johnson, Edmond Sante Fe HS, (43) RHP Cam Brown, Flower Mound HS, (50) Max Racic, Orange Lutheran HS, (53) RHP Kevin Matos, International Baseball Academy HS, (57) LHP Timmy Manning, Cardinal Gibbons HS, (58) SS Orlando Salinas, King HS, (61) 3B Yohandy Morales, Monsignor Pace HS, (62) LHP Dax Fulton, Mustang HS, (62) 3B Coby Mayo, Stoneman Douglas HS.